Will Vest
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Vest sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.450 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 55th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (76th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
116 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Will Vest.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Will Vest | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .490 | .528 | 55th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 51st |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 63rd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Will Vest mixes his four-seam fastball (44%) and slider (29%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 3.6 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 48 bases vs a replacement arm's 60 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
3.2 bases saved vs league average, across 484 pitches — 0.7 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Will Vest's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.463 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.442 to 0.486, based on 59 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.358 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.358) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.425 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.401 to 0.445, based on 57 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.493 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Will Vest.
over 76 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 6.08 · WHIP 1.43 · BABIP against 0.351 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RaysJun 1, 2026
8 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs BrewersApr 22, 2026
5 BF · 0 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs RoyalsApr 14, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs GuardiansMay 19, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs White SoxJun 21, 2026
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Will Vest
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against up, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.