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May 19, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Guardians 19% · tied 16% · Tigers 65%
Guardians stole one
Tigers did more to deserve the win, but Guardians took it 4–3.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.