Yuki Matsui
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Matsui has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.457 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 44th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (91st percentile). The soft spot is Command (5th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
198 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Yuki Matsui.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Yuki Matsui | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .473 | .528 | 44th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 13% | 9% | 5th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 24% | 22% | 72nd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Yuki Matsui mixes his four-seam fastball (37%) and slider (31%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 3.7 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 83 bases vs a replacement arm's 102 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
5.4 bases saved vs league average, across 749 pitches — 0.7 per 100.
His sweeper isn't in the charts below — only 27 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: sinker (3%)
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Mix by batter side
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Yuki Matsui's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider and Splitter have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sweeper isn't in these charts — only 27 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.434 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.413 to 0.455, based on 108 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.348 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.348) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.475 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.454 to 0.495, based on 93 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.516 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.516) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Yuki Matsui.
over 120 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.22 · WHIP 1.15 · BABIP against 0.193 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs GiantsJul 31, 2026
10 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.8
- Above replacement
- +3.4
- vs BrewersMay 12, 2026
7 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs BrewersMay 14, 2026
7 BF · 3 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs RoyalsJul 19, 2026
5 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs CardinalsMay 8, 2026
11 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 3.3
- Above replacement
- +2.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Yuki Matsui
HR allowed% down, BB% up, K% up, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.