Andrew Abbott
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Abbott is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.475 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 20th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (17th percentile).
604 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Andrew Abbott.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Andrew Abbott | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .531 | .528 | 20th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 24th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 19% | 22% | 17th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Andrew Abbott mixes his four-seam fastball (45%) and sweeper (20%). His changeup has performed closest to league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 297 bases vs a replacement arm's 336 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
17.4 bases cost vs league average, across 2,339 pitches — 0.7 per 100.
Rarely used: cutter (3%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sweeper tilts 20 points more toward lefties.
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Andrew Abbott's pitch movement, 2026
His Cutter has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 4 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.447 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.429 to 0.464, based on 163 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.421 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.421) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.487 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.470 to 0.502, based on 443 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.489 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 6 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 6 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 15 fewer bases than their contact off Andrew Abbott earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 434 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.07 · WHIP 1.40 · BABIP against 0.276 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RockiesApr 30, 2026
25 BF · 5 K, 2 BB, 5 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 6.2
- Above replacement
- +7.7
- vs AstrosMay 10, 2026
21 BF · 5 K, 1 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.7
- Above replacement
- +7.0
- vs MarinersJul 20, 2026
24 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.7
- Above replacement
- +6.7
- vs Red SoxMar 26, 2026
24 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 7 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.4
- Above replacement
- +5.0
- vs RoyalsJun 2, 2026
27 BF · 5 K, 4 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 10.1
- Above replacement
- +5.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Andrew Abbott
BB% up, K% down, Hard-hit% against up, GB% against up, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.