Shane Baz
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Baz sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.451 bases per batter faced, better than 54% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (84th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting hard contact (19th percentile).
His grade rests on 769 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Shane Baz.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Hit hard, few strikeouts” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
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| Shane Baz | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .510 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 63rd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 20% | 22% | 34th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Shane Baz mixes his four-seam fastball (34%) and knuckle curve (33%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 5.0 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 342 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 451 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 2.9 bases against league average across 2,910 pitches, or 0.1 per 100 pitches.
He rarely throws his fastball (0% of his pitches).
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his cutter tilts 21 points more toward righties.
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Shane Baz's pitch movement, 2026
His Cutter has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape, but his other 4 have not.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.044 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.037 to +0.053
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.472 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.457 to 0.486, based on 463 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.491 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.428 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.411 to 0.442, based on 308 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.386 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.386) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
5 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
16 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 7 fewer bases than their contact off Shane Baz deserved, so his results have been lucky so far.
Both bars count 544 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 4.11 · WHIP 1.35 · BABIP against 0.310 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs RangersAug 7, 2026
28 BF · 9 K, 1 BB, 3 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 8.0
- Above replacement
- +8.4
- vs RaysMay 26, 2026score only
29 BF · 9 K, 2 BB, 7 H
- Bases allowed
- 9.1
- Above replacement
- +7.9
- vs PiratesApr 4, 2026score only
25 BF · 5 K, 3 BB, 4 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 7.3
- Above replacement
- +7.4
- vs Red SoxJun 2, 2026score only
26 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.1
- Above replacement
- +7.2
- vs YankeesAug 18, 2026
25 BF · 10 K, 2 BB, 4 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 8.1
- Above replacement
- +6.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Shane Baz
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his K% is down, his Barrel% against is down, his GB% against is down and his FB% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.