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Hunter Greene

2026
Reds· RHP · throws R· 27.2 IP· 6.83 ERA· 1.37 WHIP· 121 batters faced
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Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
B+better than 71% of qualified pitchers at limiting bases
StarterPower Arm

Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.

Greene is comfortably above average at limiting bases

The simulator expects him to allow 0.442 bases per batter faced, better than 71% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is getting strikeouts (88th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting hard contact (18th percentile).

His grade rests on 121 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles compare him with 517 qualified pitchers, those with 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers together.

Plays like…

Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Hunter Greene.

Kade AndersonMarinersSean BurkeWhite SoxEmilio PagánRedsRyan ZeferjahnCubs

Pitcher type

This map shows what kind of pitcher he is, next to the league.

Pitcher type

He lands in the “Misses bats, but gets hit hard” corner of the map.

League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)

How to read this chart
Two skills separate pitching styles: strikeout rate minus walk rate, where higher is better, and hard-hit rate allowed, where lower is better. The hard-hit axis is flipped, so the best corner is the top right. Each dot is a pitcher with 80+ batters faced this season, sized by batters faced. The dashed lines are the league median on each skill, and the league best on each is named above the chart. Click any dot to open that pitcher's page.
 Hunter GreeneLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(lower = better).583.527—
Walk rate(lower = better)9%9%61st
Strikeout rate(higher = better)24%22%88th

A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.

Arsenal

These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.

Hunter Greene leans on his four-seam fastball (52% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 0.3 bases per 100 thrown against league average, and his four-seam fastball runs 3.2 mph faster than the median right-handed pitcher's.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

+15 bases better than a replacement arm this season

He allowed about 56 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 71 over the same batters faced.

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

He cost 2.6 bases against league average across 382 pitches, or 0.7 per 100 pitches.

Four-Seam Fastball
52%
98.3 mph · RHP median 95.1
17% whiffs · Lg median 21%
saved 0.3 per 1000.8 total
Slider
32%
88.8 mph · RHP median 86.9
46% whiffs · Lg median 33%
cost 2.4 per 1003.4 total
Splitter
not charted
10%
86.9 mph · RHP median 86.9
—
—
Sinker
not charted
6%
98.3 mph · RHP median 94.7
—
—

His splitter and sinker aren't in the charts below, because too few of each were tracked this season.

How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. Beside the velocity and the whiff rate is the median for that pitch, among pitchers of his hand for velocity and across the league for whiffs. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches. The Bases vs average bars score each pitch against a league-average pitch in the same count, and a bar to the left (saved) is better.

Mix by batter side

Four-Seam Fastball
56% vs LHH · RHP median 40%
46% vs RHH · RHP median 33%
Slider
28% vs LHH · RHP median 20%
38% vs RHH · RHP median 30%
How to read this chart
Each row shows how often he throws a pitch to left-handed hitters (LHH) and right-handed hitters (RHH), next to the median for pitchers of his hand (RHP median). Medians come from right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time. Between 217 and 384 of them qualify, depending on the pitch. A mix is a plan, so a higher or lower share is neither better nor worse. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

By appearance

These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.

These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His splitter and sinker aren't in these charts, because too few of each were tracked this season.

Platoon splits

This section splits his results against lefties and righties.

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.041 EB/PA allowed.

50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049

vs LHB74 PA0.439

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.439 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.418 to 0.459, based on 74 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.406 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.

vs RHB47 PA0.398

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.398 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.377 to 0.419, based on 47 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.519 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs RHB (0.519) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

0.3680.3930.4180.4430.469
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
  • The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page

Contact allowed

These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.

Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.

Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Every ball hit off Hunter Greene this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Samuel BasalloHome run
106 mph · 27° · worth 3.8 bases
07/04 vs Orioles
vs Hunter GoodmanHome run
108 mph · 36° · worth 3.8 bases
07/19 vs Rockies
vs Hunter GoodmanHome run
105 mph · 27° · worth 3.5 bases
07/19 vs Rockies
vs Jake MangumHome run
100 mph · 22° · worth 2.4 bases
07/31 vs Pirates
vs Iván HerreraDouble
102 mph · 13° · worth 2.2 bases
07/25 vs Cardinals

Luck check

One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.

vs JJ WetherholtOutLucky out
100 mph · 35° · worth 1.6 bases
07/25 vs Cardinals
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Deserved vs. actual

Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Hunter Greene deserved.

Deserved by the contact he allowed46
Actually credited to batters47

Both bars count 78 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.

How to read this chart
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity, launch angle and direction usually produce. If batters were credited with more than that, his results have been unlucky, and fewer means lucky. BABIP against is the batting average on balls in play he allows, next to the league median.

ERA 6.83 · WHIP 1.37 · BABIP against 0.338 (Lg median 0.286)

Times through the order

These charts show what happens as hitters see him a second and third time.

Best games

These are his biggest outings this season.

Best games

These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Hunter Greene

Compared with last season, his BB% is up, his K% is down, his Barrel% against is down, his GB% against is down and his Pull% against is down.

Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.