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Hunter Greene

2026
Reds· RHP · throws R· 27.2 IP· 6.83 ERA· 1.37 WHIP· 121 BF
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Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Bbetter than 68% of pitchers at limiting bases
StarterPower Arm

Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.

Greene sits right around league average

The simulator expects 0.441 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 68th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (87th percentile). The soft spot is Quiet Contact (17th percentile).

121 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. Percentiles vs. 464 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Hunter Greene.

Lake BacharPiratesTyler ZuberMarlinsShota ImanagaCubsSteven CruzRoyals

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Pitcher type

Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.

How to read this chart
Two skills separate pitching styles: finishing hitters without free passes (strikeout rate minus walk rate) and keeping the contact they do allow soft (hard-hit rate against). Every dot is a qualified pitcher this season; dot size tracks batters faced. Click any dot to open that pitcher's page.
 Hunter GreeneLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(lower = better).583.52768th
Walk rate(lower = better)8%9%63rd
Strikeout rate(higher = better)24%22%87th

100th percentile = best in MLB.

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Hunter Greene leans on his four-seam fastball (52% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 0.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 3.2 mph above the league norm.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

+12 bases better than a replacement arm this season

allowed 56 bases vs a replacement arm's 67 over the same batters faced

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

2.6 bases cost vs league average, across 382 pitches — 0.7 per 100.

Four-Seam Fastball
52%
98.3 mph · RHP median 95.1
17% whiffs · Lg median 21%
saved 0.3 per 1000.8 total
Slider
32%
88.8 mph · RHP median 86.9
46% whiffs · Lg median 33%
cost 2.4 per 1003.4 total
Splitter
not charted
10%
86.9 mph · RHP median 86.8
—
—
Sinker
not charted
6%
98.3 mph · RHP median 94.7
—
—

His splitter and sinker aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.

How to read this chart
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

Mix by batter side

Four-Seam Fastball
56% vs LHH · RHP median 41%
46% vs RHH · RHP median 34%
Slider
28% vs LHH · RHP median 20%
38% vs RHH · RHP median 31%
How to read this chart
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Medians are among right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time — between 192 and 351 of them, depending on the pitch. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

By appearance

How the stuff has held up outing to outing

One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His splitter and sinker aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.047

vs LHB74 PA0.428

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.428 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.406 to 0.448, based on 74 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.406 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.

vs RHB47 PA0.389

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.389 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.368 to 0.411, based on 47 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.519 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.

Raw vs RHB rate (0.519) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

0.3570.3850.4140.4420.470
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
  • These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Hunter Greene landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Samuel BasalloHome run
EV 106 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.8
07/04 vs Orioles
vs Hunter GoodmanHome run
EV 108 mph · LA 36° · EB 3.8
07/19 vs Rockies
vs Hunter GoodmanHome run
EV 105 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.5
07/19 vs Rockies
vs Jake MangumHome run
EV 100 mph · LA 22° · EB 2.4
07/31 vs Pirates
vs Iván HerreraDouble
EV 102 mph · LA 13° · EB 2.2
07/25 vs Cardinals

Luck check

Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.

vs JJ WetherholtOutRobbed
EV 100 mph · LA 35° · EB 1.6
07/25 vs Cardinals

Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.

vs Ryan O'HearnSingleCheap hit
EV 87 mph · LA -10° · EB 0.3 · xBA .141
07/31 vs Pirates
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Earned vs. actual

Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Hunter Greene.

Earned off his contact allowed46
Actually credited to batters47

over 78 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides

How to read this chart
Every ball in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases batters were actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.

ERA 6.83 · WHIP 1.37 · BABIP against 0.338 (Lg median 0.286)

Times through order

What happens the third time they see him

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Hunter Greene

BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against down, GB% against down, Pull% against down vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.