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Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
The simulator expects 0.444 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 57th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (96th percentile). The soft spot is Command (21st percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Matt Brash leans on his slider (60% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 1.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.
allowed 24 bases vs a replacement arm's 32 over the same batters faced
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.414 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.391 to 0.436, based on 33 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.422 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.422 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.373 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.351 to 0.396, based on 32 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.392 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.406 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.041). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
3 BF · 2 K
3 BF · 2 K
3 BF · 0 K
3 BF · 1 K
HR allowed% down, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.
