Matt Brash
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Brash is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.468 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 28th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (97th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
64 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Matt Brash leans on his slider (60% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 1.3 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 24 bases vs a replacement arm's 33 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
2.0 bases saved vs league average, across 211 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
His changeup and four-seam fastball aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Matt Brash's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider and Sinker have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His changeup and four-seam fastball aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.473 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.450 to 0.494, based on 33 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.422 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.431 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.408 to 0.452, based on 32 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.392 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.392) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs White SoxMay 20, 2026score only
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs AngelsApr 3, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs TwinsApr 28, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs AthleticsApr 22, 2026score only
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.1
- vs AngelsApr 5, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.1
Trends
Multi-season trends · Matt Brash
HR allowed% down, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.