Matt Brash
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Brash allows more bases than most pitchers
The simulator expects him to allow 0.467 bases per batter faced, better than 27% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (97th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 64 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Matt Brash leans on his slider (60% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 1.3 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 24 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 33 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 2.0 bases against league average across 211 pitches, or 0.9 per 100 pitches.
His changeup and four-seam fastball aren't in the charts below, because too few of each were tracked this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Matt Brash's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider and Sinker have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His changeup and four-seam fastball aren't in these charts, because too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.433 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.413 to 0.457, based on 33 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.422 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.392 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.370 to 0.414, based on 32 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.392 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
2 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs White SoxMay 20, 2026score only
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs AngelsApr 3, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs TwinsApr 28, 2026score only
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
- vs AthleticsApr 22, 2026score only
3 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.1
- vs AngelsApr 5, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.1
Trends
Multi-season trends · Matt Brash
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down and his K% is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.