Cole Ragans
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Ragans is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.471 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 25th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (90th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (2nd percentile).
151 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Cole Ragans.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
How to read this chart
| Cole Ragans | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .678 | .528 | 25th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 14% | 9% | 7th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 90th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Cole Ragans leans on his four-seam fastball (56% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 31% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 77 bases vs a replacement arm's 84 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
12.1 bases cost vs league average, across 602 pitches — 2.0 per 100.
His cutter isn't in the charts below — only 36 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: unknown (0%)
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his four-seam fastball tilts 16 points more toward lefties.
How to read this chart
Cole Ragans's pitch movement, 2026
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His cutter isn't in these charts — only 36 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.027 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.410 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.388 to 0.431, based on 51 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.633 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.633) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.447 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.426 to 0.468, based on 101 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.465 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 3 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 more bases than their contact off Cole Ragans earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 83 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 4.84 · WHIP 1.42 · BABIP against 0.233 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs TwinsApr 2, 2026
20 BF · 8 K, 1 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.3
- Above replacement
- +5.8
- vs AngelsApr 25, 2026
23 BF · 11 K, 5 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 8.2
- Above replacement
- +4.6
- vs TigersApr 14, 2026
21 BF · 1 K, 4 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.3
- Above replacement
- +3.4
- vs GuardiansMay 6, 2026
13 BF · 4 K, 2 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.9
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs GuardiansApr 8, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.9
- Above replacement
- +0.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Cole Ragans
xEB/PA up, HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against up, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.