MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Angels @ Royals, 04/25/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 25, 2026
Angels
1
Final
Game 824121
Royals
12
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Angels
2%
· tied 3%
·
Royals
95%
Royals earned it
Royals deserved to win and did, beating Angels 12–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.