Luis Medina
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Medina sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.450 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 54th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (74th percentile). The soft spot is Command (11th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
255 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Luis Medina.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Luis Medina | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .525 | .528 | 54th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 11th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 74th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Luis Medina mixes his four-seam fastball (31%) and sinker (26%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 4.0 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 42% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 110 bases vs a replacement arm's 131 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
0.4 bases cost vs league average, across 1,015 pitches — 0.0 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Luis Medina's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider and Curveball have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.438 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.420 to 0.458, based on 117 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.479 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.479) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.398 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.379 to 0.418, based on 139 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.408 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 8 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 8 more bases than their contact off Luis Medina earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 151 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.77 · WHIP 1.52 · BABIP against 0.345 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs YankeesMay 31, 2026
6 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +3.0
- vs OriolesMay 10, 2026
6 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +2.7
- vs PiratesJun 17, 2026
13 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.3
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs AngelsMay 20, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs BrewersJun 10, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
Trends
Multi-season trends · Luis Medina
HR allowed% up, K% up, Barrel% against down, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.