Luis Medina
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Medina is comfortably above average at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.440 bases per batter faced, better than 74% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is getting strikeouts (86th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting walks (9th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 317 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Luis Medina.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, but gets hit hard” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Luis Medina | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .496 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 9th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 27% | 22% | 86th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Luis Medina mixes his four-seam fastball (29%) and sinker (26%). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 3.7 bases per 100 thrown against league average, with a 47% whiff rate against a league median of 33%.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 126 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 165 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 9.7 bases against league average across 1,270 pitches, or 0.8 per 100 pitches.
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Mix by batter side
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Luis Medina's pitch movement, 2026
His Changeup and Curveball have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.432 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.415 to 0.452, based on 146 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.428 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.391 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.372 to 0.409, based on 172 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.400 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
10 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Luis Medina deserved.
Both bars count 178 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 3.08 · WHIP 1.40 · BABIP against 0.326 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs YankeesMay 31, 2026score only
6 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs OriolesMay 10, 2026score only
6 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs PiratesJun 17, 2026
13 BF · 6 K, 2 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.3
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs AngelsMay 20, 2026score only
7 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.4
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs RangersSep 1, 2026
5 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Luis Medina
Compared with his previous season, his BB% is up, his K% is up, his Barrel% against is down, his Hard-hit% against is down, his FB% against is up and his Pull% against is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.