Danny Young
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Young is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.500 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 2nd percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Command (5th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
65 batters faced · data through 2026-08-23.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Danny Young leans on his sweeper (49% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the sweeper has come closest, with a 44% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 30 bases vs a replacement arm's 33 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
6.0 bases cost vs league average, across 261 pitches — 2.3 per 100.
Rarely used: changeup, cutter (2%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his sinker tilts 16 points more toward righties.
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Danny Young's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.028 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.512 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.489 to 0.535, based on 31 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.637 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.459 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.637) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.549 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.528 to 0.573, based on 34 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.497 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.441 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.038). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs MetsJul 5, 2026
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.3
- vs PadresJul 20, 2026
3 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +0.5
- vs MetsJul 29, 2026
1 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +0.5
- vs PadresJul 23, 2026
1 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +0.5
- vs YankeesAug 8, 2026
6 BF · 3 K, 1 BB, 2 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 2.6
- Above replacement
- +0.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Danny Young
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.