Scott Barlow
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Barlow is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.496 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 4th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (78th percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (9th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
152 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Scott Barlow.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
How to read this chart
| Scott Barlow | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .562 | .528 | 4th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 11th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 44th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Scott Barlow mixes his sweeper (35%) and curveball (34%). His best pitch has been the curveball, saving 3.0 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 44% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 73 bases vs a replacement arm's 78 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
10.5 bases cost vs league average, across 558 pitches — 1.9 per 100.
His slider isn't in the charts below — only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: splitter (0%)
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Scott Barlow's pitch movement, 2026
His Sinker has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His slider isn't in these charts — only 23 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.504 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.481 to 0.524, based on 70 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.532 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.465 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.444 to 0.486, based on 84 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.527 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Scott Barlow.
over 97 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 6.48 · WHIP 1.35 · BABIP against 0.211 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs YankeesApr 8, 2026
5 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs MarinersApr 21, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.5
- Above replacement
- +1.6
- vs Blue JaysMar 27, 2026
6 BF · 0 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs GiantsMay 16, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs AngelsJun 19, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Scott Barlow
HR allowed% up, BB% down, K% down, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against up, GB% against down, FB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.