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Apr 21, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Athletics 94% · tied 4% · Mariners 3%
Athletics earned it
Athletics deserved to win and did, beating Mariners 5–2.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.