Pete Fairbanks
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Fairbanks sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.449 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 56th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (93rd percentile). The soft spot is HR Suppression (11th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
171 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Pete Fairbanks.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Pete Fairbanks | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .616 | .528 | 56th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 41st |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 27% | 22% | 93rd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Pete Fairbanks leans on his four-seam fastball (49% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 2.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 42% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 77 bases vs a replacement arm's 88 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
1.9 bases cost vs league average, across 699 pitches — 0.3 per 100.
Rarely used: changeup (2%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 23 points more toward lefties.
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Pete Fairbanks's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 2 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.042 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.438 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.418 to 0.459, based on 98 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.572 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.572) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.397 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.375 to 0.417, based on 73 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.315 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.315) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned once — a ball with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 more bases than their contact off Pete Fairbanks earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 97 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.95 · WHIP 1.30 · BABIP against 0.292 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs White SoxMar 31, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs RedsAug 15, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs PhilliesJul 28, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs RockiesMar 28, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs GiantsJun 20, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Pete Fairbanks
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% up, Barrel% against up, GB% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.