Tyler Holton
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Holton sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.448 bases per batter faced, better than 59% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting walks (88th percentile). His weakest skill is getting strikeouts (25th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 301 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Tyler Holton.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, limits hard contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Tyler Holton | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .465 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 7% | 9% | 88th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 20% | 22% | 25th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Tyler Holton mixes his cutter (32%) and sinker (20%). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 2.4 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 124 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 157 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 14.6 bases against league average across 1,093 pitches, or 1.3 per 100 pitches.
His curveball isn't in the charts below, because only 38 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his cutter tilts 32 points more toward righties.
How to read this chart
Tyler Holton's pitch movement, 2026
His Changeup and Sweeper have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
How to read this chart
By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. His curveball isn't in these charts, because only 38 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.038 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.418 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.399 to 0.438, based on 129 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.420 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.456 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.437 to 0.474, based on 173 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.423 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
2 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
5 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
How to read this chart
Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Tyler Holton deserved.
Both bars count 220 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
How to read this chart
ERA 2.75 · WHIP 1.25 · BABIP against 0.297 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs TwinsSep 9, 2026
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs GuardiansMay 19, 2026score only
7 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs GiantsAug 8, 2026
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.5
- vs White SoxJun 20, 2026
8 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.8
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs Red SoxApr 18, 2026score only
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +2.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Tyler Holton
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up, his K% is down, his Barrel% against is down and his FB% against is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.