Tristan Beck
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Beck has been below average at limiting damage
The simulator expects 0.466 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 32nd percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is Strikeouts (13th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
64 batters faced · data through 2026-09-07.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.
Pitcher type
Arsenal
Tristan Beck mixes his sweeper (40%) and four-seam fastball (39%). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 4.4 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 27 bases vs a replacement arm's 33 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
0.3 bases cost vs league average, across 194 pitches — 0.2 per 100.
His slider and curveball aren't in the charts below — too few of each were tracked this season.
Rarely used: changeup (1%)
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Mix by batter side
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Tristan Beck's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His slider and curveball aren't in these charts — too few of each were tracked this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.552 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.530 to 0.573, based on 29 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.271 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.271) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.510 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.490 to 0.533, based on 35 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.535 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.436 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 6 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 more bases than their contact off Tristan Beck earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 52 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 7.07 · WHIP 1.57 · BABIP against 0.300 (Lg median 0.288)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs NationalsJun 9, 2026score only
8 BF · 1 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs DodgersMay 13, 2026score only
8 BF · 0 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs MarlinsJun 20, 2026
6 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs AthleticsMay 15, 2026score only
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs BrewersJun 4, 2026score only
4 BF · 0 K, 1 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Tristan Beck
BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against up, GB% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.