Hogan Harris
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Harris sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.446 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 62nd percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (83rd percentile). The soft spot is Command (6th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
256 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
How to read this chart
Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Hogan Harris.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
How to read this chart
| Hogan Harris | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .458 | .528 | 62nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 13% | 9% | 6th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 26% | 22% | 78th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Hogan Harris leans on his four-seam fastball (60% of pitches). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 1.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 99 bases vs a replacement arm's 131 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
11.3 bases saved vs league average, across 1,072 pitches — 1.1 per 100.
Rarely used: cutter, slurve (2%)
How to read this chart
Mix by batter side
How to read this chart
Hogan Harris's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider and Changeup have moved 2+ inches from their early-season shapes.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
How to read this chart
By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.383 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.362 to 0.403, based on 103 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.377 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.422 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.402 to 0.441, based on 153 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.435 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
How to read this chart
- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 3 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 6 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
How to read this chart
Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 10 more bases than their contact off Hogan Harris earned — his results have run unlucky so far.
over 143 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
How to read this chart
ERA 3.72 · WHIP 1.54 · BABIP against 0.329 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs BravesApr 1, 2026
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.6
- vs MarinersApr 20, 2026
5 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs GuardiansMay 1, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.2
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs GiantsJun 24, 2026
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs DodgersJul 1, 2026
5 BF · 4 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.7
Trends
Multi-season trends · Hogan Harris
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% up, Barrel% against up, GB% against up, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.