← All games
May 1, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Guardians 52% · tied 12% · Athletics 36%
Guardians edged it
A near coin-flip on paper — Guardians came out ahead of Athletics 8–5.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.