Jovani Morán
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Morán sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.445 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 64th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Quiet Contact (95th percentile). The soft spot is Command (14th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
221 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Jovani Morán.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Jovani Morán | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .492 | .528 | 64th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 12% | 9% | 14th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 83rd |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Jovani Morán mixes his four-seam fastball (39%) and changeup (37%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 4.0 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 91 bases vs a replacement arm's 113 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
7.4 bases saved vs league average, across 821 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
His sweeper isn't in the charts below — only 37 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Rarely used: curveball (0%)
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his cutter tilts 16 points more toward lefties.
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Jovani Morán's pitch movement, 2026
His Cutter has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sweeper isn't in these charts — only 37 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.028 to +0.046
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.388 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.367 to 0.408, based on 86 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.472 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.472) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.425 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.405 to 0.445, based on 135 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.391 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Jovani Morán.
over 133 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.00 · WHIP 1.07 · BABIP against 0.198 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs BrewersApr 6, 2026
11 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.6
- Above replacement
- +4.0
- vs Blue JaysAug 10, 2026
8 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +3.2
- vs TigersApr 18, 2026
11 BF · 3 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.9
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs GuardiansMay 31, 2026
5 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs TwinsApr 13, 2026
9 BF · 2 K, 2 BB
- Bases allowed
- 2.7
- Above replacement
- +2.0
Trends
Multi-season trends · Jovani Morán
HR allowed% up, BB% down vs his previous season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.