Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Ohtani is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.402 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 95th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (95th percentile).
340 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Shohei Ohtani.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Shohei Ohtani | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .406 | .528 | 95th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 68th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 26% | 22% | 91st |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Shohei Ohtani leans on his four-seam fastball (45% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 4.4 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 3.0 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 114 bases vs a replacement arm's 189 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
35.3 bases saved vs league average, across 1,311 pitches — 2.7 per 100.
Rarely used: slider, cutter (2%)
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Mix by batter side
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Shohei Ohtani's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.040 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.403 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.385 to 0.422, based on 191 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.376 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.363 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.344 to 0.381, based on 149 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.313 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.313) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the opposite field.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 7 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 fewer bases than their contact off Shohei Ohtani earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 213 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 1.79 · WHIP 0.95 · BABIP against 0.244 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs Blue JaysApr 8, 2026
24 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.2
- Above replacement
- +7.1
- vs GiantsApr 22, 2026
23 BF · 7 K, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.8
- Above replacement
- +7.0
- vs MarlinsApr 28, 2026
27 BF · 9 K, 3 BB, 5 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 8.1
- Above replacement
- +6.9
- vs TwinsJun 24, 2026
24 BF · 8 K, 2 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.7
- Above replacement
- +6.7
- vs GiantsMay 13, 2026
26 BF · 8 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.0
- Above replacement
- +6.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Shohei Ohtani
HR allowed% down, BB% up, K% down, Barrel% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.