Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Ohtani is among the league's best at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.408 bases per batter faced, better than 95% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (95th percentile).
His grade rests on 340 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Shohei Ohtani.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, limits hard contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
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| Shohei Ohtani | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .406 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 72nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 25% | 22% | 90th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Shohei Ohtani leans on his four-seam fastball (45% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sweeper, saving 4.4 bases per 100 thrown against league average, and his four-seam fastball runs 3.0 mph faster than the median right-handed pitcher's.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 113 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 199 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 35.3 bases against league average across 1,311 pitches, or 2.7 per 100 pitches.
He rarely throws his slider and cutter (2% of his pitches combined).
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Mix by batter side
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Shohei Ohtani's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches has clearly moved from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.409 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.389 to 0.426, based on 191 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.376 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.367 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.348 to 0.385, based on 149 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.313 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.313) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but they do the most damage to the opposite field.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
7 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 6 fewer bases than their contact off Shohei Ohtani deserved, so his results have been lucky so far.
Both bars count 213 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 1.79 · WHIP 0.95 · BABIP against 0.244 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through the order
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs Blue JaysApr 8, 2026score only
24 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.2
- Above replacement
- +7.8
- vs GiantsApr 22, 2026score only
23 BF · 7 K, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.8
- Above replacement
- +7.7
- vs MarlinsApr 28, 2026score only
27 BF · 9 K, 3 BB, 5 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 8.1
- Above replacement
- +7.7
- vs TwinsJun 24, 2026
24 BF · 8 K, 2 BB, 5 H
- Bases allowed
- 6.7
- Above replacement
- +7.4
- vs GiantsMay 13, 2026score only
26 BF · 8 K, 2 BB, 4 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.0
- Above replacement
- +7.2
Trends
Multi-season trends · Shohei Ohtani
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up, his K% is down and his FB% against is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.