Skip to main content
← All games
Apr 28, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Marlins 40% · tied 24% · Dodgers 36%

Marlins edged it

A near coin-flip on paper — Marlins came out ahead of Dodgers 2–1.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.