Sean Newcomb
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Newcomb sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.444 bases per batter faced, better than 67% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (96th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 372 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Sean Newcomb.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, limits hard contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Sean Newcomb | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .464 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 9% | 9% | 46th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 51st |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Sean Newcomb mixes his four-seam fastball (39%) and slurve (31%). His best pitch has been the curveball, saving 2.2 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 149 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 194 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 15.1 bases against league average across 1,407 pitches, or 1.1 per 100 pitches.
He rarely throws his changeup and cutter (4% of his pitches combined).
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Mix by batter side
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Sean Newcomb's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches has clearly moved from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.039 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.418 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.400 to 0.437, based on 150 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.379 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs LHB (0.379) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.457 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.439 to 0.474, based on 223 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.445 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
3 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
8 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 8 fewer bases than their contact off Sean Newcomb deserved, so his results have been lucky so far.
Both bars count 246 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 3.09 · WHIP 1.18 · BABIP against 0.285 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs TwinsAug 29, 2026
11 BF · 3 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.4
- Above replacement
- +3.3
- vs AngelsMay 4, 2026score only
6 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs TigersJun 20, 2026
9 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.9
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs RoyalsMay 14, 2026score only
7 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs TwinsMay 26, 2026score only
6 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +2.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Sean Newcomb
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up and his Barrel% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.