Sean Newcomb
2026Grade
A blend of skills without one defining trait.
Newcomb is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.437 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 71st percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is HR Suppression (98th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
283 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Sean Newcomb.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Sean Newcomb | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .426 | .528 | 71st |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 36th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 22% | 22% | 48th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Sean Newcomb mixes his four-seam fastball (37%) and slurve (34%). His best pitch has been the four-seam fastball, saving 3.2 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 32% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 109 bases vs a replacement arm's 145 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
18.3 bases saved vs league average, across 1,027 pitches — 1.8 per 100.
Rarely used: changeup, curveball, cutter (7%)
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Mix by batter side
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Sean Newcomb's pitch movement, 2026
His Slurve has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 2 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.030 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.421 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.401 to 0.441, based on 121 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.387 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.387) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.460 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.440 to 0.479, based on 163 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.401 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 5 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 5 fewer bases than their contact off Sean Newcomb earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 191 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.44 · WHIP 1.10 · BABIP against 0.265 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs AngelsMay 4, 2026
6 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs TigersJun 20, 2026
9 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.9
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs RoyalsMay 14, 2026
7 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +2.7
- vs TwinsMay 26, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs RoyalsApr 11, 2026
6 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +2.1
Trends
Multi-season trends · Sean Newcomb
HR allowed% down, BB% up, Hard-hit% against down, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.