Fernando Cruz
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Cruz sits right around league average
The simulator expects him to allow 0.449 bases per batter faced, better than 57% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting hard contact (97th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting walks (4th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 234 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Fernando Cruz.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Misses bats, limits hard contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Fernando Cruz | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .509 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 13% | 9% | 4th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 26% | 22% | 93rd |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Fernando Cruz leans on his splitter (51% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 1.9 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 98 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 122 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 3.1 bases against league average across 910 pitches, or 0.3 per 100 pitches.
He rarely throws his sinker and sweeper (4% of his pitches combined).
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Mix by batter side
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Fernando Cruz's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches has clearly moved from its early-season shape.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles righty bats better than lefty bats, by 0.042 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.050
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.438 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.419 to 0.457, based on 122 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.456 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.396 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.377 to 0.416, based on 112 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.411 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His split is about typical for a righty arm (median 0.042). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so even his weaker side is a strength.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
One out behind him came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
4 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about 5 more bases than their contact off Fernando Cruz deserved, so his results have been unlucky so far.
Both bars count 133 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 3.13 · WHIP 1.34 · BABIP against 0.270 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs TigersJun 24, 2026
5 BF · 4 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs GuardiansJun 9, 2026score only
6 BF · 4 K, 1 BB
- Bases allowed
- 1.0
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs PiratesJul 20, 2026
4 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs White SoxJul 29, 2026
4 BF · 1 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.7
- vs BrewersMay 10, 2026score only
5 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.9
- Above replacement
- +1.7
Trends
Multi-season trends · Fernando Cruz
Compared with last season, his HR allowed% is up, his BB% is up, his K% is down, his Hard-hit% against is down, his GB% against is down and his FB% against is up.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.