Sam Hentges
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Hentges has been below average at limiting bases
The simulator expects him to allow 0.461 bases per batter faced, better than 37% of qualified pitchers. His best skill is limiting home runs (99th percentile). His weakest skill is limiting walks (9th percentile). Short relief outings push strikeout rates up a little, so read his K% spoke with that in mind.
His grade rests on 173 batters faced, with data through 2026-09-27.
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Plays like…
Each of these pitchers shares his archetype and sits closest to him in xEB/PA. Pick one to see him side by side with Sam Hentges.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
He lands in the “Limits hard contact, pitches to contact” corner of the map.
League best:K% − BB% Jacob Misiorowski (26.8%)Hard-hit% allowed Blake Snell (29.0%)
How to read this chart
| Sam Hentges | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .405 | .527 | — |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 13% | 9% | 9th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 66th |
A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.
Arsenal
Sam Hentges mixes his four-seam fastball (34%) and sinker (27%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 4.5 bases per 100 thrown against league average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
He allowed about 64 estimated bases, against a replacement arm's 90 over the same batters faced.
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
He saved 8.1 bases against league average across 687 pitches, or 1.2 per 100 pitches.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his four-seam fastball tilts 21 points more toward righties.
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Sam Hentges's pitch movement, 2026
His Sinker has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape, but his other 3 have not.
The verdict above compares each pitch with his own early-season outings in 2026, not with other pitchers, after taking out the league-wide drift in break.
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By appearance
These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
He handles lefty bats better than righty bats, by 0.038 EB/PA allowed.
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.445 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.424 to 0.466, based on 84 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.411 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.451 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs LHB (0.411) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.483 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.462 to 0.503, based on 90 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.402 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.435 EB/PA.
His raw rate vs RHB (0.402) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.
His split is about typical for a lefty arm (median 0.038). Against righty bats he allows more than the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.
How to read this chart
- Each dot is his estimate against that side, with its 50% probable range as the bar. These are bases allowed, so lower is better.
- The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
- The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of pitchers with 100 or more batters faced.
- The two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed, not the xEB/PA headline.
- Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHB and RHB are left- and right-handed batters. More on the About page
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but they do the most damage to the pull side.
Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
2 outs behind him came on balls the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.
3 hits off him had less than a 20% chance of being hits.
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Deserved vs. actual
Batters have been credited with about the bases their contact off Sam Hentges deserved.
Both bars count 103 balls in play, with walks and strikeouts left out.
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ERA 3.19 · WHIP 1.64 · BABIP against 0.340 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.
- vs Red SoxAug 23, 2026
5 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +2.1
- vs TigersAug 7, 2026
7 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.7
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs PadresAug 2, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs AstrosAug 10, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs RockiesJul 10, 2026
5 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Sam Hentges
Compared with his previous season, his xEB/PA is up, his HR allowed% is down, his BB% is up, his K% is down, his Barrel% against is down, his Hard-hit% against is down, his FB% against is up and his Pull% against is down.
Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.