Kevin Ginkel
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Ginkel is comfortably above average at preventing runs
The simulator expects 0.429 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 80th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Command (76th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
220 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Kevin Ginkel.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Kevin Ginkel | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .504 | .528 | 80th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 76th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 68th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Kevin Ginkel leans on his slider (49% of pitches). His best pitch has been the slider, saving 2.0 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 43% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 94 bases vs a replacement arm's 113 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
6.9 bases saved vs league average, across 808 pitches — 0.9 per 100.
His sinker isn't in the charts below — only 43 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Kevin Ginkel's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sinker isn't in these charts — only 43 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.039 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.031 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.459 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.440 to 0.481, based on 127 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.429 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.420 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.399 to 0.440, based on 95 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.399 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 4 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Kevin Ginkel.
over 154 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 3.79 · WHIP 1.12 · BABIP against 0.265 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs OriolesApr 15, 2026
8 BF · 4 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +3.6
- vs BrewersApr 29, 2026
5 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs White SoxApr 23, 2026
6 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 1.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs RedsAug 22, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs DodgersAug 7, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Kevin Ginkel
HR allowed% up, BB% down, Hard-hit% against down, GB% against down, FB% against down, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.