Dennis Santana
2026Grade
Below league average across the board.
Santana is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.497 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 3rd percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (13th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
197 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Dennis Santana.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Dennis Santana | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .691 | .528 | 3rd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 11% | 9% | 28th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 21% | 22% | 40th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Dennis Santana mixes his slider (35%) and four-seam fastball (29%). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 3.7 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 113 bases vs a replacement arm's 101 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
26.0 bases cost vs league average, across 742 pitches — 3.5 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
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Dennis Santana's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape; his other 4 have not.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.033 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.523 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.503 to 0.544, based on 106 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.654 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.654) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.483 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.462 to 0.503, based on 91 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.511 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage 2 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in gloves behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 8 fewer bases than their contact off Dennis Santana earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 133 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.89 · WHIP 1.47 · BABIP against 0.282 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs RedsJun 26, 2026
4 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.5
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs RangersApr 22, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs CubsApr 10, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs AthleticsJun 17, 2026
3 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs BrewersJul 11, 2026
3 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +1.4
Trends
Multi-season trends · Dennis Santana
xEB/PA up, HR allowed% up, BB% up, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against up, GB% against down, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.