Cole Sulser
2026Grade
Misses bats in bunches; lives with the walks.
Sulser sits right around league average
The simulator expects 0.452 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 52nd percentile of qualified pitchers. Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
197 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Cole Sulser.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Cole Sulser | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .603 | .528 | 52nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 8% | 9% | 67th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 23% | 22% | 64th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Cole Sulser leans on his four-seam fastball (45% of pitches). His best pitch has been the cutter, saving 1.5 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 95 bases vs a replacement arm's 101 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
Even with league average across 744 pitches.
His sweeper isn't in the charts below — only 32 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Cole Sulser's pitch movement, 2026
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His sweeper isn't in these charts — only 32 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.028 to +0.045
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.477 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.458 to 0.499, based on 115 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.388 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.388) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.441 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.420 to 0.461, based on 82 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.596 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.596) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). Against lefty bats he allows more than the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, but the hardest contact goes up the middle.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 5 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Cole Sulser.
over 132 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 4.86 · WHIP 1.32 · BABIP against 0.318 (Lg median 0.286)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs NationalsJun 20, 2026
6 BF · 4 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.3
- Above replacement
- +2.8
- vs YankeesJul 8, 2026
6 BF · 3 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.8
- Above replacement
- +2.3
- vs TwinsApr 26, 2026
5 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.7
- Above replacement
- +1.9
- vs Blue JaysMay 13, 2026
4 BF · 0 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.2
- Above replacement
- +1.8
- vs MarlinsJun 5, 2026
4 BF · 2 K, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 0.4
- Above replacement
- +1.6
Trends
Multi-season trends · Cole Sulser
HR allowed% up, Barrel% against up, Hard-hit% against down, FB% against up, Pull% against up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.