Josh Hader
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Hader is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.406 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 94th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (99th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.
124 batters faced · data through 2026-08-25.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Josh Hader.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Josh Hader | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .343 | .527 | 94th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 42nd |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 27% | 22% | 99th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Josh Hader leans on his sinker (63% of pitches). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 5.1 bases per 100 thrown vs average, with a 31% whiff rate.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 36 bases vs a replacement arm's 63 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
21.5 bases saved vs league average, across 501 pitches — 4.3 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 24 points more toward righties.
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Josh Hader's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.038 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.049
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.357 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.337 to 0.381, based on 37 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.301 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.453 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.301) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.395 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.374 to 0.417, based on 87 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.270 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.437 EB/PA.
Raw vs RHB rate (0.270) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 2 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 6 fewer bases than their contact off Josh Hader earned — his results have run lucky so far.
over 69 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 0.81 · WHIP 0.72 · BABIP against 0.176 (Lg median 0.287)
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs GiantsAug 10, 2026
6 BF · 2 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.6
- Above replacement
- +2.4
- vs YankeesAug 25, 2026
4 BF · 1 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.1
- Above replacement
- +2.0
- vs AngelsJun 8, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs OriolesJul 18, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
- vs AthleticsJun 5, 2026
3 BF · 3 K
- Bases allowed
- 0.0
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Josh Hader
HR allowed% down, BB% up, Barrel% against down, GB% against up, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.