Germán Márquez
2026Grade
Rarely walks anyone and lets the defense work.
Márquez is getting hit harder than most pitchers
The simulator expects 0.504 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 2nd percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (2nd percentile).
236 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Germán Márquez.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Germán Márquez | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .636 | .528 | 2nd |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 10% | 9% | 40th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 18% | 22% | 7th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Germán Márquez mixes his four-seam fastball (38%) and knuckle curve (32%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 3.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 134 bases vs a replacement arm's 131 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
25.1 bases cost vs league average, across 888 pitches — 2.8 per 100.
His changeup isn't in the charts below — only 30 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
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Mix by batter side
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Germán Márquez's pitch movement, 2026
His Slider has moved 2+ inches from its early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His changeup isn't in these charts — only 30 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.041 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.032 to +0.048
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.524 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.504 to 0.544, based on 136 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.624 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
Raw vs LHB rate (0.624) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.483 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.464 to 0.504, based on 101 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.506 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.040). He allows more than the league median against both sides.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's where the hardest contact comes from.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Burned 5 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Results have matched the contact quality — batters have been credited about what they earned off Germán Márquez.
over 173 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 5.26 · WHIP 1.49 · BABIP against 0.258 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs GiantsJul 31, 2026
17 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 1 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.1
- Above replacement
- +5.4
- vs D-backsJul 7, 2026
20 BF · 4 K, 3 BB, 3 H
- Bases allowed
- 7.5
- Above replacement
- +3.6
- vs PiratesApr 6, 2026
21 BF · 4 K, 1 BB, 6 H
- Bases allowed
- 8.5
- Above replacement
- +3.1
- vs D-backsApr 25, 2026
26 BF · 2 K, 1 BB, 6 H, 1 HR, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 12.3
- Above replacement
- +2.2
- vs AngelsApr 18, 2026
20 BF · 5 K, 2 BB, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 9.6
- Above replacement
- +1.5
Trends
Multi-season trends · Germán Márquez
HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% up vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.