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Tommy Kahnle

2026
Red Sox· RHP · throws R· 9.0 IP· 8.00 ERA· 2.00 WHIP· 43 BF

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Fbetter than 20% of pitchers at limiting bases
RelieverStill Searching

Below league average across the board.

Kahnle is getting hit harder than most pitchers

The simulator expects 0.476 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 20th percentile of qualified pitchers. The soft spot is HR Suppression (9th percentile). Short relief stints inflate strikeout rates a touch, so read the Strikeouts spoke with that in mind.

43 batters faced · data through 2026-09-11.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size (not raw season stats), so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles vs. 494 qualified pitchers — 100+ batters faced, starters and relievers pooled. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the pitchers whose profile looks most like this one.

Pitcher type

What kind of pitcher he is, next to the league

Arsenal

What he throws, and what it does

Tommy Kahnle leans on his changeup (63% of pitches). No pitch has beaten league-average results yet — the four-seam fastball has come closest.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

+0 bases better than a replacement arm this season

allowed 22 bases vs a replacement arm's 22 over the same batters faced

Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.

All pitches

3.9 bases cost vs league average, across 157 pitches — 2.5 per 100.

Changeup
63%
88.2 mph · RHP median 87.1
20% whiffs · Lg median 30%
cost 2.9 per 1003.1 total
Four-Seam Fastball
30%
93.6 mph · RHP median 95.1
cost 1.5 per 1000.8 total
Slider
not charted
7%
84.7 mph · RHP median 86.9

His slider isn't in the charts below — only 11 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.

How to read this chart
What they throw, how hard, and what misses bats — from pitch tracking, regular season only.

Mix by batter side

Changeup
64% vs LHH · RHP median 29%
61% vs RHH · RHP median 12%
How to read this chart
How the mix shifts against lefty and righty bats. Medians are among right-handed pitchers who throw that pitch at least 3% of the time — 111 of them. Overall results by batter side are under Platoon splits.

Tommy Kahnle's pitch movement, 2026

Tommy Kahnle's pitch movement, 2026061218061218in← glove sidearm side →more risemore drop
ChangeupCH
Rise 1.6 in
−2.5 vs Lg median
Break 11.3 in
−2.8 vs Lg median
Four-Seam FastballFF
Rise 16.4 in
+0.8 vs Lg median
Break 4.7 in
−3.0 vs Lg median
Early season → nowLg medianCurrent-dot uncertainty
How to read this chart
Each dot is a pitch's current shape — horizontal break (arm side vs. glove side) by induced vertical break (rise vs. drop). Both axes are in inches of break. The trail runs from this season's earliest tracked outings — the faint, thin end — up to today's solid dot; a trail with only a few segments just means fewer tracked outings. The soft halo around each dot is how far that dot could sit off on its own, just from ordinary outing-to-outing wobble. Don't read a long trail as proof on its own that a pitch changed. Every pitch in baseball loses a little break through midsummer and gets it back by September — the same shift two full seasons back agree on — and the trail shows that league-wide seasonal swing alongside whatever this pitcher did himself. The sentence at the top of this card has the league's share taken out, so it can read “has not moved” above a trail that looks long. That is the two marks measuring different things, not a mistake. A pitch counts as changed only once it sits at least two inches from its own early-season shape — a verdict about this pitcher against himself, never a comparison with anyone else. League median: the small hollow ring marks it, on the same two measurements. Where it sits far from a pitch's dot, a line joins the two — and on a wider screen the ring carries that pitch's code as well — so a distant ring is never orphaned; where it sits close, neither is drawn, because the pairing is already obvious. League median is missing entirely for a pitch marked *: too few pitchers throw it for one to be worth setting, so it is plotted without a reference ring. For the exact dates a pitch changed, see the by-appearance chart below.

By appearance

How the stuff has held up outing to outing

One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. His slider isn't in these charts — only 11 of them were tracked with velocity and movement data this season.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)

Better vs RHB than vs LHB by 0.043 EB/PA allowed (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.034 to +0.051

vs LHB24 PA0.504

vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.504 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.481 to 0.526, based on 24 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.632 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.455 EB/PA.

Raw vs LHB rate (0.632) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

vs RHB19 PA0.461

vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.461 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.437 to 0.482, based on 19 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.432 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.438 EB/PA.

0.4270.4540.4820.5090.536
← betterworse →
Below league medianAbove50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty arm (median 0.043). He allows more than the league median against both sides.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
  • These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.

Contact allowed

What hitters do when they connect

Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.

Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Where every ball hit off Tommy Kahnle landed this season.
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

His biggest outings this year

Best games

His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Tommy Kahnle

HR allowed% up, BB% up, K% down vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.