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Will Wagner

2026
Padres· DH · bats L · throws R· 45 PA

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Dbetter than 31% of hitters at creating bases

His season is in line with his established level.

Patient Contact

Works counts and puts the ball in play; modest slug.

A disciplined contact hitter

Will Wagner walks at an elite clip — better than 92% of qualified hitters. The contact is soft, though — only 18% of qualified hitters hit the ball with less authority. Early-season read — only 45 plate appearances so far.

45 plate appearances · data through 2026-08-22.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. Percentiles vs. 499 qualified hitters — 50+ plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.

Steven KwanGuardiansEvan CarterRangersP.J. HigginsRedsNick SogardRed Sox

Hitter type

What kind of hitter he is, next to the league

Hitter type

Elite plate discipline with weak contact.

How to read this chart
Two skills separate hitting styles: not giving away at-bats (walk rate minus strikeout rate) and squaring the ball up when he does put it in play (hard-hit rate). Every dot is a qualified hitter this season; dot size tracks plate appearances. Click any dot to open that hitter's page.
 Will WagnerLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better).360.50831st
Walk rate(higher = better)22%8%92nd
Strikeout rate(lower = better)16%23%76th

100th percentile = best in MLB.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

Better vs RHP than vs LHP by 0.080 EB/PA (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.059 to +0.099

vs LHP1 PA0.351

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.351 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.320 to 0.381, based on 1 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.240 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.425 EB/PA.

Raw vs LHP rate (0.240) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

vs RHP44 PA0.431

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.431 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.405 to 0.457, based on 44 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.443 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.436 EB/PA.

0.3030.3460.3880.4310.473
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a lefty bat (median 0.080). Against lefties he sits below the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.

He sits in the league's bottom quarter vs lefties and the league's middle half vs righties.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all hitters against that hand.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.

How he hits

What happens when he puts a ball in play

He hits the ball up the middle most often, but does his most damage to the opposite field.

Best batted balls

Where every ball Will Wagner put in play landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Chase BurnsSingle
EV 91 mph · LA 15° · EB 0.9
06/09 vs Reds
vs Brady SingerDouble
EV 86 mph · LA 20° · EB 0.8
06/10 vs Reds
vs Trey GibsonSingle
EV 74 mph · LA -2° · EB 0.8
06/13 vs Orioles
vs Jacob deGromSingle
EV 91 mph · LA 16° · EB 0.8
06/19 vs Rangers
vs Jakob JunisSingle
EV 98 mph · LA 4° · EB 0.8
06/19 vs Rangers
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Performance by pitch type

2026 · 176 pitches

Bases he adds per 100 pitches of each type, against the league.

← below leagueabove league →
Four-Seam Fastball (74 pitches)
+0.5
Lg median −0.4Lg best +12.9
Other (102 pitches)

−1.6 bases per 100 · no single-type league comparison

Above league medianBelowMiddle half of the leagueLg medianLg best
How to read this chart
Bases added per 100 pitches of each type — the same scale as the pitcher pages’ “saved/cost per 100”, from the hitter’s side. Every pitch counts: taking a ball adds value, whiffing loses it, and the pitch that ends the plate appearance scores its outcome against the count’s expectation. Values are bases vs the league count-average: +3.5 means his results against that pitch have been worth about 3.5 extra bases per 100 seen. Types with fewer than 50 pitches seen pool into “Other”.

Swing

How fast he swings, and what he changes with two strikes. League tracking starts in 2024.

Swing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-08-22
Bat speed · 66 swings
69.2 mph
Lg median 71.1 mph
Slowest: S. Kwan (61.9 mph)Fastest: J. Caminero (78.7 mph)
Lg median

Swings slower than most hitters. His swing is shorter than most hitters', with a flatter attack angle than most. Cuts his swing down about as much as most hitters with two strikes. His bat travels on a fairly typical path.

Attack angle
1.7°
Lg median 9.4°
Swing length
6.5 ft
Lg median 7.3 ft
Swing path tilt
33.2°
Lg median 32.4°
Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Competitive swings: bunts and checked-type swings under 50 mph are excluded, so these numbers sit a touch below the bat speeds Savant publishes, which use a different cut.
  • League tracking starts in 2024, and early 2024 has small gaps — about 93% of swings that season have a reading.
  • Swing length — how far the sweet spot of the bat travels during the swing.
  • Attack angle — the bat’s upward or downward tilt through the zone.
  • Swing path tilt — how steep the bat’s path is.
  • None of these is better or worse on its own — swing style trades power against contact (the fastest and slowest swings in the league both belong to stars).

Best games

His biggest games this year

Best games

His best games this season by bases above replacement.

Multi-season trends · Will Wagner

BB% up, K% down vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.