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MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Tanner Murray

2026
White Sox· LF · bats R · throws R· 33 plate appearances

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
Dbetter than 33% of hitters at creating bases
Aggressive Power

Big pop, rarely takes a walk.

A mixed profile at the plate

Tanner Murray makes solid contact more often than 58% of qualified hitters. The overall production lags, though. Only 33% of qualified hitters create fewer estimated bases per plate appearance. This is an early read, on only 33 plate appearances so far.

33 plate appearances · data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. EB/PA is estimated bases, HR% home runs, BB% walks and K% strikeouts, each per plate appearance, and Hard-hit% is balls hit 95 mph or harder. Percentiles compare him with 534 qualified hitters, the ones with 50 or more plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Each of these hitters shares his archetype and sits closest to him in EB/PA.

Andrew PinckneyNationalsJasson DomínguezYankeesRamón UríasCardinalsHenry DavisPirates

Hitter type

See what kind of hitter he is, next to the rest of the league.

Platoon splits

See how he hits left-handed and right-handed pitchers.

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

He hits lefties better than righties, by 0.034 EB/PA.

50% probable range: +0.009 to +0.059

vs LHP24 PA0.436

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.436 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.406 to 0.467, based on 24 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.376 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.424 EB/PA.

vs RHP9 PA0.402

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.402 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.375 to 0.431, based on 9 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.323 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.433 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs RHP (0.323) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

0.3640.3920.4210.4500.478
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a righty bat (median 0.035). Against righties he sits below the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.

He sits in the league's middle half vs both lefties and righties.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that hand, with its 50% probable range as the bar. Higher is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of hitters with 50 or more plate appearances.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHP and RHP are left- and right-handed pitchers. More on the About page

How he hits

See what his contact is worth and what pitchers throw him.

He hits the ball to the pull side most often, but does his most damage up the middle.

Best batted balls

Every ball Tanner Murray put in play this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Foster GriffinOutUnlucky out
104 mph · 29° · worth 3.4 bases
04/26 vs Nationals
vs Steven MatzSingle
102 mph · 1° · worth 0.8 bases
04/16 vs Rays
vs Noah CameronHome run
95 mph · 31° · worth 0.7 bases
04/12 vs Royals
vs Michael WachaSingle
93 mph · 1° · worth 0.6 bases
04/11 vs Royals
vs Foster GriffinSingle
85 mph · 8° · worth 0.6 bases
04/26 vs Nationals

Luck check

One of his outs came on a ball the simulator values at 1.5 bases or more.

vs Foster GriffinOutUnlucky out
104 mph · 29° · worth 3.4 bases
04/26 vs Nationals
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

These are his biggest games this season.

Best games

These are his best games this season, ranked by bases above replacement.