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MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Tanner Murray

2026
White Sox· LF · bats R · throws R· 33 PA

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Dbetter than 36% of hitters at creating bases
Aggressive Power

Big pop, rarely takes a walk.

A mixed profile at the plate

Tanner Murray makes solid contact more often than 63% of qualified hitters. The overall production lags, though — only 36% of qualified hitters create fewer estimated bases per plate appearance. Early-season read — only 33 plate appearances so far.

33 plate appearances · data through 2026-09-11.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles vs. 519 qualified hitters — 50+ plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.

Amed RosarioYankeesAndrew PinckneyNationalsBrady HouseNationalsAdolis GarcíaPhillies

Hitter type

What kind of hitter he is, next to the league

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

Better vs LHP than vs RHP by 0.033 EB/PA (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.008 to +0.057

vs LHP24 PA0.441

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.441 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.410 to 0.471, based on 24 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.376 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.426 EB/PA.

vs RHP9 PA0.408

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.408 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.379 to 0.435, based on 9 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.323 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.435 EB/PA.

Raw vs RHP rate (0.323) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

0.3680.3960.4250.4530.482
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty bat (median 0.034). Against righties he sits below the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.

He sits in the league's middle half vs both lefties and righties.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all hitters against that hand.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.

How he hits

What happens when he puts a ball in play

He hits the ball to the pull side most often, but does his most damage up the middle.

Best batted balls

Where every ball Tanner Murray put in play landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Foster GriffinOutRobbed
EV 104 mph · LA 29° · EB 3.4
04/26 vs Nationals
vs Steven MatzSingle
EV 102 mph · LA 1° · EB 0.8
04/16 vs Rays
vs Noah CameronHome run
EV 95 mph · LA 31° · EB 0.7
04/12 vs Royals
vs Michael WachaSingle
EV 93 mph · LA 1° · EB 0.6
04/11 vs Royals
vs Foster GriffinSingle
EV 85 mph · LA 8° · EB 0.6
04/26 vs Nationals

Luck check

Robbed once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit that died in a glove.

vs Foster GriffinOutRobbed
EV 104 mph · LA 29° · EB 3.4
04/26 vs Nationals
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

His biggest games this year

Best games

His best games this season by bases above replacement.