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Owen Caissie

2026
Marlins· RF · bats L · throws R· 295 PA
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Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Cbetter than 48% of hitters at creating bases
Aggressive Power

Big pop, rarely takes a walk.

Makes some of the hardest contact around

Owen Caissie squares the ball up — harder contact than 85% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 1% of qualified hitters whiff more often.

295 plate appearances · data through 2026-08-22.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. Percentiles vs. 499 qualified hitters — 50+ plate appearances.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Owen Caissie.

Trea TurnerPhilliesYohendrick PiñangoBlue JaysDylan CrewsNationalsJake BurgerRangers

Hitter type

What kind of hitter he is, next to the league

Hitter type

Very free-swinging hitter with elite contact quality.

How to read this chart
Two skills separate hitting styles: not giving away at-bats (walk rate minus strikeout rate) and squaring the ball up when he does put it in play (hard-hit rate). Every dot is a qualified hitter this season; dot size tracks plate appearances. Click any dot to open that hitter's page.
 Owen CaissieLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better).645.50848th
Walk rate(higher = better)7%8%38th
Strikeout rate(lower = better)38%23%1st

100th percentile = best in MLB.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

Better vs RHP than vs LHP by 0.084 EB/PA (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.064 to +0.102

vs LHP37 PA0.368

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.368 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.344 to 0.392, based on 37 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.311 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.425 EB/PA.

Raw vs LHP rate (0.311) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

vs RHP260 PA0.452

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.452 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.433 to 0.470, based on 260 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.445 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.436 EB/PA.

0.3290.3680.4070.4460.485
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a lefty bat (median 0.080). Against lefties he sits below the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.

He sits in the league's bottom quarter vs lefties and the league's middle half vs righties.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all hitters against that hand.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.

How he hits

What happens when he puts a ball in play

He hits the ball up the middle most often, but does his most damage to the pull side.

Best batted balls

Where every ball Owen Caissie put in play landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs John BrebbiaHome run
EV 109 mph · LA 28° · EB 3.9
06/30 vs Rockies
vs Bryan WooHome run
EV 109 mph · LA 32° · EB 3.9
07/07 vs Mariners
vs Will WarrenHome run
EV 106 mph · LA 24° · EB 3.6
04/03 vs Yankees
vs Jose CorniellHome run
EV 101 mph · LA 28° · EB 3.6
06/23 vs Rangers
vs Ryne NelsonHome run
EV 110 mph · LA 23° · EB 3.6
06/10 vs D-backs

Luck check

Robbed once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit that died in a glove.

vs Griffin JaxOutRobbed
EV 104 mph · LA 25° · EB 1.7
06/07 vs Rays

5 lucky hits — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass.

vs Drew RasmussenSingleLucky
EV 81 mph · LA 2° · EB 0.1 · xBA .124
05/17 vs Rays
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Performance by pitch type

2026 · 1,220 pitches

Bases he adds per 100 pitches of each type, against the league.

← below leagueabove league →
Four-Seam Fastball (393 pitches)
+1.9
Lg median −0.4Lg best +12.9
Changeup (153 pitches)
+1.2
Lg median −0.3Lg best +17.9
Slider (144 pitches)
−2.4
Lg median −0.5Lg best +13.2
Sinker (131 pitches)
−2.9
Lg median −1.3Lg best +10.4
Curveball (110 pitches)
−4.3
Lg median +0.5Lg best +14.6
Sweeper (94 pitches)
−3.4
Lg median −0.3Lg best +21.9
Cutter (92 pitches)
−3.6
Lg median −0.3Lg best +16.7
Splitter (56 pitches)
+5.5
Lg median −0.7Lg best +12.6
Other (47 pitches)

−0.4 bases per 100 · no single-type league comparison

Above league medianBelowMiddle half of the leagueLg medianLg best
How to read this chart
Bases added per 100 pitches of each type — the same scale as the pitcher pages’ “saved/cost per 100”, from the hitter’s side. Every pitch counts: taking a ball adds value, whiffing loses it, and the pitch that ends the plate appearance scores its outcome against the count’s expectation. Values are bases vs the league count-average: +3.5 means his results against that pitch have been worth about 3.5 extra bases per 100 seen. Types with fewer than 50 pitches seen pool into “Other”.

Earned vs. actual

Owen Caissie has been credited about 11 more bases than his contact earned — his results have run fortunate so far.

Earned off his own contact101
Actually credited to him112

over 157 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides

How to read this chart
Every ball he puts in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases he was actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.

Swing

How fast he swings, and what he changes with two strikes. League tracking starts in 2024.

Swing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-08-22
Bat speed · 543 swings
74.1 mph
Lg median 71.1 mph
Slowest: S. Kwan (61.9 mph)Fastest: J. Caminero (78.7 mph)
Lg median

Swings faster than most hitters. His swing length and attack angle both sit in the league's middle range. Cuts his swing down about as much as most hitters with two strikes. His bat travels on a steeper path than most.

Attack angle
11.1°
Lg median 9.4°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Lg median 7.3 ft
Swing path tilt
36.0°
Lg median 32.4°
Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Competitive swings: bunts and checked-type swings under 50 mph are excluded, so these numbers sit a touch below the bat speeds Savant publishes, which use a different cut.
  • League tracking starts in 2024, and early 2024 has small gaps — about 93% of swings that season have a reading.
  • Swing length — how far the sweet spot of the bat travels during the swing.
  • Attack angle — the bat’s upward or downward tilt through the zone.
  • Swing path tilt — how steep the bat’s path is.
  • None of these is better or worse on its own — swing style trades power against contact (the fastest and slowest swings in the league both belong to stars).

Timing

Early or late, over or under — how his swing meets the pitch. Tracking starts mid-2023.

Timing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-08-22
Perfect contact · 559 swings
18.4%
Lg median 22.6%Lg best 39.4%
On-time swings
58.7%
Lg median 64.5%Lg best 79.1%
Miss distance on whiffs
3.8 in
Lg median 3.0 inLg best 1.0 in

Squares the ball up less often than most hitters. When his timing is off, it's usually early — about 13 ms ahead of perfect timing. More of his mishits come from reaching at pitches away from him than from getting tied up inside.

Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Perfect contact — a swing that is centered (barrel within 4 inches of the ball horizontally), on time (within 7 milliseconds of ideal timing), and lined up (within 2 inches vertically), all at once. A swing missing any of the three counts as flawed.
  • Miss distance — on swings and misses only: how far the barrel half of the bat passed from the ball, in inches.
  • Timing numbers are Savant’s season-to-date figures. Switch hitters have both sides combined — no side-by-side timing split exists.
  • League comparisons cover hitters with 100+ tracked swings this season. Tracking starts in July 2023.

How he sets up

Where he stands in the box and how his feet are set, next to the league-average setup.

How he sets up

A typical setup — close to league average in depth, off-plate distance, width, and angle.

Top-down batting stance vs league averagePitcher ↑

Month by month this season, from his setup about a second before each pitch.

Middle half of the leagueLg median
His feetLg avg
How to read this chart
  • Overhead view of the batter’s box. The dots are his feet, reconstructed from Statcast’s stance measurements — hip position, foot separation, and stance angle — about one second before the pitch. It’s an approximation of his setup, not his stride or swing.
  • Open means his front foot is pulled off the line to the plate; closed means it steps toward it. The average hitter sets up slightly open.
  • The change line above only appears for a sustained month-over-month move that clears normal Statcast noise by a wide margin.
  • The chart is his month-by-month average for whichever measure you pick, this season only. A month needs 25 tracked swings to appear, so an injured or platooned month can be missing. The shaded band and dashed line are where the middle half of hitters, and the median hitter, sat over their whole season.
  • On the angle chart, below zero is an open stance and above zero is a closed one — hover a point (or drag on a phone) and it says which in words.
  • Data through 2026-08-22.

Best games

His biggest games this year

Best games

His best games this season by bases above replacement.

Multi-season trends · Owen Caissie

EB/PA up, HR% down, BB% up vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.