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Kevin Alcántara

2026
Cubs· DH · bats R · throws R· 27 PA

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Fbetter than 28% of hitters at creating bases
Still Searching

Below league average across the board.

Strikeouts are holding this bat back

Kevin Alcántara walks at a league-average clip — better than 55% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 3% of qualified hitters whiff more often. Early-season read — only 27 plate appearances so far.

27 plate appearances · data through 2026-08-22.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. Percentiles vs. 499 qualified hitters — 50+ plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.

Tyler BlackBrewersKahlil WatsonGuardiansJase BowenPadresJose SiriAngels

Hitter type

What kind of hitter he is, next to the league

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

Better vs LHP than vs RHP by 0.035 EB/PA (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.016 to +0.055

vs LHP19 PA0.435

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.435 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.406 to 0.465, based on 19 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.423 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.425 EB/PA.

vs RHP9 PA0.400

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.400 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.371 to 0.426, based on 9 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.165 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.436 EB/PA.

Raw vs RHP rate (0.165) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

0.3600.3890.4180.4470.477
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty bat (median 0.034). Against righties he sits below the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.

He sits in the league's middle half vs lefties and the league's bottom quarter vs righties.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all hitters against that hand.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.

How he hits

What happens when he puts a ball in play

He hits the ball to the pull side most often, but does his most damage up the middle.

Best batted balls

Where every ball Kevin Alcántara put in play landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Justin WrobleskiHome run
EV 106 mph · LA 22° · EB 3.3
08/03 vs Dodgers
vs Matthew LiberatoreSingle
EV 93 mph · LA 15° · EB 1.1
05/31 vs Cardinals
vs Rodolfo DuránSingle
EV 88 mph · LA 14° · EB 0.9
07/01 vs Padres
vs JP SearsSingle
EV 99 mph · LA 13° · EB 0.9
06/30 vs Padres
vs Andrew AbbottOut
EV 86 mph · LA 12° · EB 0.3
07/12 vs Reds

Luck check

2 lucky hits — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass.

vs Weston WilsonSingleLucky
EV 83 mph · LA 46° · EB 0.0 · xBA .008
08/23 vs Mariners
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

His biggest games this year

Best games

His best games this season by bases above replacement.