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Michael Toglia

2026
Reds· 1B · bats S · throws L· 28 PA

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
C+better than 54% of hitters at creating bases

He's running below his established level this season — there's room to rebound.

Three-Outcome Slugger

Elite power and walks; lives with the strikeouts.

Makes some of the hardest contact around

Michael Toglia squares the ball up — harder contact than 84% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 3% of qualified hitters whiff more often. Early-season read — only 28 plate appearances so far.

28 plate appearances · data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. Percentiles vs. 534 qualified hitters — 50+ plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.

Endy RodríguezPiratesOwen CaissieMarlinsBrandon ValenzuelaBlue JaysBen MalgeriTigers

Hitter type

What kind of hitter he is, next to the league

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

Better vs RHP than vs LHP by 0.020 EB/PA (modeled).

50% probable range: -0.006 to +0.046

That interval crosses zero, so the simulator can’t confidently say which side he’s actually better against.

vs LHP6 PA0.413

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.413 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.380 to 0.445, based on 6 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.290 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.424 EB/PA.

Raw vs LHP rate (0.290) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

vs RHP22 PA0.434

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.434 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.406 to 0.462, based on 22 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.216 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.433 EB/PA.

Raw vs RHP rate (0.216) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

0.3700.3960.4210.4460.472
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a switch hitter (median 0.023). Against lefties he sits below the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.

He sits in the league's middle half vs both lefties and righties.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the simulator pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all hitters against that hand.
  • Michael Toglia switch-hits — he can choose the platoon-advantaged side almost every plate appearance, so a small gap here is expected. It is not missing data or a modeling error.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.

How he hits

What happens when he puts a ball in play

He hits the ball up the middle most often, but does his most damage to the pull side.

Best batted balls

Where every ball Michael Toglia put in play landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Andre PallanteDouble
EV 100 mph · LA 15° · EB 1.3
08/17 vs Cardinals
vs George SorianoOut
EV 87 mph · LA 19° · EB 0.5
08/17 vs Cardinals
vs Tyler ZuberOut
EV 99 mph · LA 5° · EB 0.5
08/16 vs Marlins
vs Sandy AlcantaraDouble
EV 94 mph · LA 18° · EB 0.4
08/14 vs Marlins
vs Bryan HudsonSingle
EV 63 mph · LA 33° · EB 0.4
08/11 vs White Sox
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

His biggest games this year

Best games

His best games this season by bases above replacement.

Multi-season trends · Michael Toglia

HR% down, BB% down vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.