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Tyler Stephenson

2026
Reds· C · bats R · throws R· 362 PA
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Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Abetter than 82% of hitters at creating bases

His season is in line with his established level.

Three-Outcome Slugger

Elite power and walks; lives with the strikeouts.

Big production, big swing-and-miss

Tyler Stephenson squares the ball up — harder contact than 86% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 24% of qualified hitters whiff more often.

362 plate appearances · data through 2026-08-22.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. Percentiles vs. 499 qualified hitters — 50+ plate appearances.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Tyler Stephenson.

Manny MachadoPadresWill BensonRedsMarcell OzunaPiratesMichael ConfortoCubs

Hitter type

What kind of hitter he is, next to the league

Hitter type

Elite contact quality.

How to read this chart
Two skills separate hitting styles: not giving away at-bats (walk rate minus strikeout rate) and squaring the ball up when he does put it in play (hard-hit rate). Every dot is a qualified hitter this season; dot size tracks plate appearances. Click any dot to open that hitter's page.
 Tyler StephensonLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better).648.50882nd
Walk rate(higher = better)11%8%76th
Strikeout rate(lower = better)27%23%24th

100th percentile = best in MLB.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

Better vs LHP than vs RHP by 0.033 EB/PA (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.014 to +0.051

vs LHP77 PA0.515

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.515 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.492 to 0.536, based on 77 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.524 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.425 EB/PA.

vs RHP286 PA0.482

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.482 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.465 to 0.501, based on 286 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.501 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.436 EB/PA.

0.4120.4460.4810.5150.549
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty bat (median 0.034). He's above the league median against both hands, so the weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.

He sits in the league's top quarter vs both lefties and righties.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all hitters against that hand.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.

How he hits

What happens when he puts a ball in play

He hits the ball up the middle most often, but does his most damage to the pull side.

Best batted balls

Where every ball Tyler Stephenson put in play landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Jake IrvinHome run
EV 106 mph · LA 28° · EB 3.9
05/13 vs Nationals
vs Ryan FeltnerHome run
EV 105 mph · LA 35° · EB 3.8
07/19 vs Rockies
vs Nolan McLeanHome run
EV 103 mph · LA 27° · EB 3.8
05/25 vs Mets
vs Tanner GordonHome run
EV 102 mph · LA 31° · EB 3.7
07/19 vs Rockies
vs Camilo DovalHome run
EV 101 mph · LA 31° · EB 3.6
08/02 vs Pirates

Luck check

Robbed 6 times — crushed balls the simulator scores as near-certain hits that died in a glove.

vs Ryan FeltnerOutRobbed
EV 104 mph · LA 34° · EB 3.5
07/19 vs Rockies

5 lucky hits — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass.

vs Michael PetersenSingleLucky
EV 88 mph · LA -20° · EB 0.1 · xBA .088
04/08 vs Marlins
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Performance by pitch type

2026 · 1,463 pitches

Bases he adds per 100 pitches of each type, against the league.

← below leagueabove league →
Four-Seam Fastball (431 pitches)
+1.7
Lg median −0.4Lg best +12.9
Slider (242 pitches)
+1.4
Lg median −0.5Lg best +13.2
Sinker (210 pitches)
+8.8
Lg median −1.3Lg best +10.4
Sweeper (179 pitches)
+1.7
Lg median −0.3Lg best +21.9
Changeup (136 pitches)
−3.4
Lg median −0.3Lg best +17.9
Cutter (124 pitches)
−1.8
Lg median −0.3Lg best +16.7
Curveball (75 pitches)
−2.1
Lg median +0.5Lg best +14.6
Other (66 pitches)

−5.8 bases per 100 · no single-type league comparison

Above league medianBelowMiddle half of the leagueLg medianLg best
How to read this chart
Bases added per 100 pitches of each type — the same scale as the pitcher pages’ “saved/cost per 100”, from the hitter’s side. Every pitch counts: taking a ball adds value, whiffing loses it, and the pitch that ends the plate appearance scores its outcome against the count’s expectation. Values are bases vs the league count-average: +3.5 means his results against that pitch have been worth about 3.5 extra bases per 100 seen. Types with fewer than 50 pitches seen pool into “Other”.

Earned vs. actual

Tyler Stephenson's contact has earned about 14 more bases than he's actually been credited — his results have run unlucky so far.

Earned off his own contact144
Actually credited to him130

over 222 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides

How to read this chart
Every ball he puts in play is worth the bases its exit velocity and direction usually earn. Comparing those earned bases with the bases he was actually credited shows whether his results have been lucky, unlucky, or fair.

Swing

How fast he swings, and what he changes with two strikes. League tracking starts in 2024.

Swing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-08-22
Bat speed · 609 swings
70.0 mph
Lg median 71.1 mph
Slowest: S. Kwan (61.9 mph)Fastest: J. Caminero (78.7 mph)
Lg median

Swings about as fast as most hitters. His swing length is typical, but his attack angle is steeper than most. Changes his swing less than most hitters with two strikes. His bat travels on a steeper path than most. His bat speed is down 2.2 mph since April — a real change, not day-to-day noise.

Attack angle
12.4°
Lg median 9.4°
Swing length
7.4 ft
Lg median 7.3 ft
Swing path tilt
37.6°
Lg median 31.6°
Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Competitive swings: bunts and checked-type swings under 50 mph are excluded, so these numbers sit a touch below the bat speeds Savant publishes, which use a different cut.
  • League tracking starts in 2024, and early 2024 has small gaps — about 93% of swings that season have a reading.
  • Swing length — how far the sweet spot of the bat travels during the swing.
  • Attack angle — the bat’s upward or downward tilt through the zone.
  • Swing path tilt — how steep the bat’s path is.
  • “A real change” means the move from his first full month to his latest one is more than three times its own margin of error, and big enough to matter, after subtracting the league’s own drift — bat speed rises about half a mile an hour across the league every spring, and that is not a swing change.
  • None of these is better or worse on its own — swing style trades power against contact (the fastest and slowest swings in the league both belong to stars).

Timing

Early or late, over or under — how his swing meets the pitch. Tracking starts mid-2023.

Timing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-08-22
Perfect contact · 633 swings
22.4%
Lg median 22.6%Lg best 39.4%
On-time swings
66.8%
Lg median 64.5%Lg best 79.1%
Miss distance on whiffs
3.4 in
Lg median 3.0 inLg best 1.0 in

Squares the ball up about as often as most hitters. When his timing is off, it's usually early — about 12 ms ahead of perfect timing. When he misses vertically, it's more often under the ball than over it. More of his mishits come from reaching at pitches away from him than from getting tied up inside.

Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Perfect contact — a swing that is centered (barrel within 4 inches of the ball horizontally), on time (within 7 milliseconds of ideal timing), and lined up (within 2 inches vertically), all at once. A swing missing any of the three counts as flawed.
  • Miss distance — on swings and misses only: how far the barrel half of the bat passed from the ball, in inches.
  • Timing numbers are Savant’s season-to-date figures. Switch hitters have both sides combined — no side-by-side timing split exists.
  • League comparisons cover hitters with 100+ tracked swings this season. Tracking starts in July 2023.

How he sets up

Where he stands in the box and how his feet are set, next to the league-average setup.

How he sets up

A nearly square stance — more closed than 83% of hitters (league avg 11° open).

Top-down batting stance vs league averagePitcher ↑

Month by month this season, from his setup about a second before each pitch.

Middle half of the leagueLg median
His feetLg avg
How to read this chart
  • Overhead view of the batter’s box. The dots are his feet, reconstructed from Statcast’s stance measurements — hip position, foot separation, and stance angle — about one second before the pitch. It’s an approximation of his setup, not his stride or swing.
  • Open means his front foot is pulled off the line to the plate; closed means it steps toward it. The average hitter sets up slightly open.
  • The change line above only appears for a sustained month-over-month move that clears normal Statcast noise by a wide margin.
  • The chart is his month-by-month average for whichever measure you pick, this season only. A month needs 25 tracked swings to appear, so an injured or platooned month can be missing. The shaded band and dashed line are where the middle half of hitters, and the median hitter, sat over their whole season.
  • On the angle chart, below zero is an open stance and above zero is a closed one — hover a point (or drag on a phone) and it says which in words.
  • Data through 2026-08-22.

Best games

His biggest games this year

Best games

His best games this season by bases above replacement.

Multi-season trends · Tyler Stephenson

HR% down, K% down, Barrel% down, GB% down, Pull% down vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.