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Connor Joe

2026
Mariners· RF · bats R · throws R· 45 PA

Grade

How good he's been, and at what
Fbetter than 24% of hitters at creating bases

He's running above his established level this season — a cooler stretch wouldn't be a surprise.

Still Searching

Below league average across the board.

Gets on base by working the count

Connor Joe walks at a near-elite clip — better than 85% of qualified hitters. The strikeouts pile up, though — only 23% of qualified hitters whiff more often. Early-season read — only 45 plate appearances so far.

45 plate appearances · data through 2026-08-22.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size — not raw season stats — so farther out = better. Spokes are the metric itself; ↓ marks a rate where a LOWER number is better. Percentiles vs. 499 qualified hitters — 50+ plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Same archetype, nearest by rate — the hitters whose profile looks most like this one.

Trevor StoryRed SoxJosé TenaNationalsJames OutmanTigersJuan BritoGuardians

Hitter type

What kind of hitter he is, next to the league

Hitter type

Above-average contact quality; strikes out more than most.

How to read this chart
Two skills separate hitting styles: not giving away at-bats (walk rate minus strikeout rate) and squaring the ball up when he does put it in play (hard-hit rate). Every dot is a qualified hitter this season; dot size tracks plate appearances. Click any dot to open that hitter's page.
 Connor JoeLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better).635.50824th
Walk rate(higher = better)13%8%85th
Strikeout rate(lower = better)33%23%23rd

100th percentile = best in MLB.

Platoon splits

How he fares against lefties and righties

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

Better vs LHP than vs RHP by 0.034 EB/PA (modeled).

50% probable range: +0.014 to +0.054

vs LHP26 PA0.426

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.426 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.397 to 0.452, based on 26 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.449 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.425 EB/PA.

vs RHP19 PA0.391

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.391 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.366 to 0.418, based on 19 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.503 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.436 EB/PA.

Raw vs RHP rate (0.503) is off this scale — small samples like this are exactly why the shrunk estimate (the dot) is the trustworthy number, not the raw one.

0.3560.3820.4090.4360.463
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

About the typical split for a righty bat (median 0.034). Against righties he sits below the league median — a genuine platoon vulnerability.

He sits in the league's middle half vs lefties and the league's bottom quarter vs righties.

How to read this chart
  • Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
  • His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that hand — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
  • “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all hitters against that hand.
  • Shrunk splits beat raw splits decisively at low PA counts and converge with them as playing time builds — individual platoon gaps need roughly 1,000+ PA vs a hand before the raw number alone can be trusted.

How he hits

What happens when he puts a ball in play

He hits the ball to the pull side most often, and that's where his hardest contact goes.

Best batted balls

Where every ball Connor Joe put in play landed this season.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Cole RagansHome run
EV 104 mph · LA 30° · EB 3.9
05/01 vs Royals
vs Jason AdamOutRobbed
EV 107 mph · LA 18° · EB 2.2
04/16 vs Padres
vs Matt SvansonDouble
EV 66 mph · LA 26° · EB 1.6
04/26 vs Cardinals
vs Riley O'BrienSingle
EV 108 mph · LA 11° · EB 1.4
04/25 vs Cardinals
vs Seranthony DomínguezSingle
EV 95 mph · LA 12° · EB 1.0
05/10 vs White Sox

Luck check

Robbed once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit that died in a glove.

vs Jason AdamOutRobbed
EV 107 mph · LA 18° · EB 2.2
04/16 vs Padres
How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB) — what the contact was worth, regardless of what the defense did with it. So a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Performance by pitch type

2026 · 210 pitches

Bases he adds per 100 pitches of each type, against the league.

← below leagueabove league →
Four-Seam Fastball (54 pitches)
−2.1
Lg median −0.4Lg best +12.9
Other (156 pitches)

+1.3 bases per 100 · no single-type league comparison

Above league medianBelowMiddle half of the leagueLg medianLg best
How to read this chart
Bases added per 100 pitches of each type — the same scale as the pitcher pages’ “saved/cost per 100”, from the hitter’s side. Every pitch counts: taking a ball adds value, whiffing loses it, and the pitch that ends the plate appearance scores its outcome against the count’s expectation. Values are bases vs the league count-average: +3.5 means his results against that pitch have been worth about 3.5 extra bases per 100 seen. Types with fewer than 50 pitches seen pool into “Other”.

Swing

How fast he swings, and what he changes with two strikes. League tracking starts in 2024.

Swing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-08-22
Bat speed · 78 swings
72.4 mph
Lg median 71.1 mph
Slowest: S. Kwan (61.9 mph)Fastest: J. Caminero (78.7 mph)
Lg median

Swings about as fast as most hitters. His swing length is typical, but his attack angle is flatter than most. Shortens up more than most hitters with two strikes. His bat travels on a fairly typical path.

Attack angle
5.0°
Lg median 9.4°
Swing length
7.3 ft
Lg median 7.3 ft
Swing path tilt
29.8°
Lg median 31.6°
Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Competitive swings: bunts and checked-type swings under 50 mph are excluded, so these numbers sit a touch below the bat speeds Savant publishes, which use a different cut.
  • League tracking starts in 2024, and early 2024 has small gaps — about 93% of swings that season have a reading.
  • Swing length — how far the sweet spot of the bat travels during the swing.
  • Attack angle — the bat’s upward or downward tilt through the zone.
  • Swing path tilt — how steep the bat’s path is.
  • None of these is better or worse on its own — swing style trades power against contact (the fastest and slowest swings in the league both belong to stars).

Best games

His biggest games this year

Best games

His best games this season by bases above replacement.

Multi-season trends · Connor Joe

HR% up, BB% up, K% up vs last season

Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.