MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Padres @ Orioles, 06/14/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Jun 14, 2026
Padres
5
Final
Game 824823
Orioles
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Padres
60%
· tied 16%
·
Orioles
24%
Padres earned it
Padres deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 5–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.