Skip to main content
← All games

Orioles at Red Sox · Jun 3, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Orioles 16% · tied 10% · Red Sox 74%

Red Sox earned it

Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 8-1.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.