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Orioles at Guardians · Apr 17, 2026
Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Orioles 47% · tied 12% · Guardians 41%
Orioles edged it
The simulator saw a near coin flip, and Orioles came out ahead of Guardians 6-4.
- This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
- The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.