← All games
Orioles at Guardians · Apr 19, 2026
Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Orioles 14% · tied 11% · Guardians 75%
Guardians earned it
Guardians deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 8-4.
- This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
- The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.