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Apr 20, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Astros 93% · tied 3% · Guardians 4%
Astros earned it
Astros deserved to win and did, beating Guardians 9–2.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.