← All games
Twins at Guardians · May 10, 2026
Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Twins 43% · tied 13% · Guardians 44%
Twins stole one
Guardians did more to deserve the win, but Twins took it 5-4.
- This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
- The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.