Skip to main content
← All games

Padres at Rockies · Apr 23, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Padres 33% · tied 11% · Rockies 55%

Padres stole one

Rockies did more to deserve the win, but Padres took it 10-8.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.