Skip to main content
← All games

Phillies at Marlins · May 3, 2026

Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Phillies 70% · tied 13% · Marlins 17%

Phillies earned it

Phillies deserved to win and did, beating Marlins 7–2.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-to-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.