Skip to main content
← All games

Pirates at Brewers · Apr 25, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Pirates 33% · tied 17% · Brewers 50%

Pirates stole one

Brewers did more to deserve the win, but Pirates took it 6-3.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.