← All games
Cardinals at Brewers · May 27, 2026
Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Cardinals 85% · tied 10% · Brewers 5%
Brewers stole one
Cardinals did more to deserve the win, but Brewers took it 2-1.
- This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
- The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.