Skip to main content
← All games

Rays at Pirates · Apr 17, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Rays 0% · tied 1% · Pirates 99%

Pirates earned it

Pirates deserved to win and did, beating Rays 5-1.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.