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Jun 13, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Marlins 32% · tied 19% · Pirates 48%

Pirates edged it

A near coin-flip on paper — Pirates came out ahead of Marlins 3–2.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.