Skip to main content
← All games
May 9, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Cardinals 31% · tied 15% · Padres 54%

Padres earned it

Padres deserved to win and did, beating Cardinals 4–2.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.